Accuracy of our electricity price forecasts

Average deviation depending on the number of days in advance (last 12 complete months):

Month 1 day ahead 2 days ahead 3 days ahead 4 days ahead
October 2025 – – – –
November 2025 – – – –
December 2025 4.18 ct/kWh 3.4 ct/kWh 3.72 ct/kWh 3.8 ct/kWh
January 2026 3.16 ct/kWh 3.16 ct/kWh 2.95 ct/kWh 3.14 ct/kWh
February 2026 3.97 ct/kWh 3.61 ct/kWh 3.56 ct/kWh 3.74 ct/kWh
March 2026 3.09 ct/kWh 3.05 ct/kWh 3.01 ct/kWh 3.09 ct/kWh
April 2026 3.35 ct/kWh 3.43 ct/kWh 3.43 ct/kWh 3.44 ct/kWh
May 2026 3.59 ct/kWh 3.57 ct/kWh 3.53 ct/kWh 3.64 ct/kWh
June 2026 4.14 ct/kWh 4.13 ct/kWh 4.16 ct/kWh 4.24 ct/kWh
July 2026 5.02 ct/kWh 5.08 ct/kWh 4.99 ct/kWh 5.07 ct/kWh
August 2026 7.05 ct/kWh 6.99 ct/kWh 6.97 ct/kWh 7.05 ct/kWh
September 2026 8.79 ct/kWh 8.51 ct/kWh 8.27 ct/kWh 8.64 ct/kWh
Ø Total (12 months) 4.63 ct/kWh 4.49 ct/kWh 4.46 ct/kWh 4.59 ct/kWh

Does the forecast hit the right charging times?

Last 14 days: Where were the 4 cheapest hours per day according to the forecast (green) – and where actually (blue)? Overlaps show accuracy.

Predicted cheapest hours Actually cheapest hours Forecast exactly matched ✓

Electric Vehicle Charging Cost Optimization

Scenario: Your EV arrives on Wednesday at 6pm with an empty battery. We compare three optimization strategies:

EPEX Spot Prices

Day-Ahead Market

352.84 €

Annual savings with weekly charging

Available at noon for the next day

Based on 52 charges per year (40 kWh)

Free Plan Forecast

Free

387.99 €

Annual savings with weekly charging

Planning: 2 full days

10% more savings!

Based on 52 charges per year (40 kWh)

Pro Plan Forecast

Premium Feature

458.79 €

Annual savings with weekly charging

Planning: 6 full days

18% more savings!

Based on 52 charges per year (40 kWh)

The annual savings were calculated as the difference between immediate charging (Wednesday 6pm) and charging during the 4 cheapest hours in the respective forecast period.

Exchange electricity prices: Bundesnetzagentur | SMARD.de, license CC BY 4.0. Forecasts and prices including grid fees, levies and taxes are calculated by energyforecast.de on this basis.